Final Score: Pirates 0 - Brewers 0
Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Brewers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
57-58 Rating 1483
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +1.1
Brewers
70-43 Rating 1568
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Pirates

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 7%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 11%<1%1%<1%
If Lose 7%<1%<1%<1%

Brewers

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 100%88%21%15%
If Win 100%89%21%14%
If Lose 100%86%19%13%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Brewers
All-time wins 202 260
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.8
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Brewers
Games played 115 113
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.8
Win percentage 50% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 64%