Final Score: Mets 0 - Guardians 0
Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Mets @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
48-66 Rating 1481
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.5
Guardians
57-57 Rating 1510
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Mets

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now <1%<1%<1%<1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%<1%

Guardians

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 53%41%9%3%
If Win 56%45%9%4%
If Lose 48%36%9%4%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Guardians
All-time wins 17 11
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Guardians
Games played 114 114
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 42% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 49%