Final Score: Mets 11 - Pirates 1
Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Mets @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
51-67 Rating 1485
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.2
Pirates
58-61 Rating 1480
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Pirates
All-time wins 341 321
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.0
Last meeting 0 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Pirates
Games played 118 119
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.8
Win percentage 43% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 51%