Final Score: Marlins 0 - Braves 0
Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Marlins @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
58-56 Rating 1495
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.7
Braves
68-45 Rating 1538
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Marlins

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 18%1%1%1%
If Win 21%2%2%1%
If Lose 13%1%1%<1%

Braves

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 99%83%12%3%
If Win 99%85%12%4%
If Lose 98%80%9%4%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Braves
All-time wins 220 336
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.9 4.8
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Braves
Games played 114 113
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.9
Win percentage 51% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 65%