Final Score: Marlins 7 - Reds 1
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
Marlins @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 109 | 140 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 4 |
| Stat | Marlins | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 124 | 122 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 48% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 15
12-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Reds
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Athletics
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Athletics
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2