Final Score: Marlins 5 - Phillies 6
Monday, August 17, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Marlins @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 251 | 302 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 6 |
| Stat | Marlins | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 125 | 125 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 52% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 15
12-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
Phillies
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3