Final Score: Phillies 7 - Twins 5
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
66-58 Rating 1541
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Twins
60-64 Rating 1473
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Twins
All-time wins 16 16
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 9 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Twins
Games played 124 124
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.0
Win percentage 53% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 52%