Final Score: Reds 5 - Cubs 17
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
64-71 Rating 1486
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
76-59 Rating 1538
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 416 388
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 10 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 135 135
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.3
Win percentage 47% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 58%