Final Score: Reds 3 - Diamondbacks 5
Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET

Reds @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
62-68 Rating 1487
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.5
Diamondbacks
68-62 Rating 1515
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Diamondbacks
All-time wins 92 92
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 11 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Diamondbacks
Games played 130 130
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 48% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 57%