Final Score: Diamondbacks 1 - Red Sox 11
Monday, August 17, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
66-59 Rating 1517
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
66-58 Rating 1533
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Red Sox
All-time wins 14 16
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.9
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Red Sox
Games played 125 124
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.8
Win percentage 53% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 48%