Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Blue Jays 6
Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 7:07 PM ET
Red Sox @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 405 | 347 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 5 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 119 | 121 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 59% | 49% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Athletics
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Athletics
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Athletics
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 14
13-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 23
12-11
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 16
14-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Blue Jays
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Houston Astros
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Houston Astros
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Houston Astros
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5