Final Score: Diamondbacks 3 - Braves 5
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
66-58 Rating 1518
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.4
Braves
73-50 Rating 1536
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Braves
All-time wins 90 104
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.9
Last meeting 10 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Braves
Games played 124 123
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.9
Win percentage 53% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 64%