Final Score: Mets 3 - Braves 6
Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Mets @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
53-68 Rating 1488
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.8
Braves
72-48 Rating 1539
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Braves
All-time wins 396 444
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Braves
Games played 121 120
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.9
Win percentage 44% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 66%