Final Score: Reds 11 - Diamondbacks 5
Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Reds @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
61-68 Rating 1485
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.6
Diamondbacks
68-61 Rating 1517
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Diamondbacks
All-time wins 91 92
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 0 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Diamondbacks
Games played 129 129
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 47% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 58%