Final Score: Padres 4 - Rays 5
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
Padres @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 11 | 21 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 7 |
| Stat | Padres | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 136 | 135 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 66% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New York Mets
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ New York Mets
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Rays
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Detroit Tigers
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6