Final Score: Padres 0 - Rays 0
Friday, August 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
35-33 Rating 1525
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Rays
40-26 Rating 1519
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Rays
All-time wins 11 19
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 5.1
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Rays
Games played 68 66
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.4
Win percentage 51% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 73%