Final Score: Padres 0 - Rays 0
Friday, August 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
59-55 Rating 1528
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Rays
67-46 Rating 1527
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Rays
All-time wins 11 19
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 5.1
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Rays
Games played 114 113
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 52% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 69%