Final Score: Pirates 1 - Padres 0
Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Pirates @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 277 | 247 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Pirates | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 133 | 132 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 60% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
Padres
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New York Mets
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ New York Mets
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ New York Mets
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5