Final Score: Pirates 0 - Padres 0
Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
57-58 Rating 1483
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Padres
59-55 Rating 1528
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 276 247
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 115 114
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 50% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 56%