Final Score: Padres 7 - Guardians 5
Friday, August 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
65-57 Rating 1536
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Guardians
59-63 Rating 1501
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Guardians
All-time wins 14 14
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 3.9 4.0
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Guardians
Games played 122 122
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 53% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 47%