Final Score: Padres 1 - Guardians 6
Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
66-57 Rating 1538
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Guardians
59-64 Rating 1499
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Guardians
All-time wins 15 14
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.0 4.0
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Guardians
Games played 123 123
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 54% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 47%