Final Score: Pirates 4 - Dodgers 5
Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
63-66 Rating 1480
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.3
Dodgers
77-51 Rating 1577
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Dodgers
All-time wins 226 310
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.6
Last meeting 6 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Dodgers
Games played 129 128
Avg runs scored 5.0 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.9
Win percentage 49% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 59%