Final Score: Pirates 3 - Dodgers 4
Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Pirates @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
63-67 Rating 1479
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.3
Dodgers
78-51 Rating 1578
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Dodgers
All-time wins 226 311
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 4.6
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Dodgers
Games played 130 129
Avg runs scored 5.0 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.9
Win percentage 48% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 59%