Rays @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Rays 2 - Orioles 3
Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Rays
76-52 Rating 1530
Form: WLWLL
2 – 3
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.1
Baltimore
Orioles
62-67 Rating 1497
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Orioles
All-time wins 250 239
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Orioles
Games played 128 129
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.8
Win percentage 59% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 50%