Final Score: Yankees 5 - Orioles 3
Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET
Yankees @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 518 | 387 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Yankees | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 125 | 126 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 51% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Orioles
vs New York Yankees
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5