Final Score: Orioles 0 - Rays 0
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET

Orioles @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
55-58 Rating 1499
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.5
Rays
67-46 Rating 1527
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Rays
All-time wins 235 249
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 11 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Rays
Games played 113 113
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.2
Win percentage 49% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 69%