Final Score: Mets 3 - Rays 2
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Mets @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
61-76 Rating 1489
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.8
Rays
82-54 Rating 1538
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Rays
All-time wins 16 23
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 5.1
Last meeting 0 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Rays
Games played 137 136
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 45% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 67%