Final Score: Nationals 0 - Padres 0
Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
35-35 Rating 1463
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.9
Padres
35-33 Rating 1525
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Padres
All-time wins 271 251
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.0
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Padres
Games played 70 68
Avg runs scored 5.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.1
Win percentage 50% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 50%