Final Score: Yankees 0 - Padres 0
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
41-27 Rating 1560
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.1
Padres
35-33 Rating 1525
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Padres
All-time wins 21 10
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 3.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Padres
Games played 68 68
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.1
Win percentage 60% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 50%