Final Score: Yankees 5 - Padres 1
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Yankees @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 21 | 11 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Yankees | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 141 | 141 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 59% | 60% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Los Angeles Angels
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Los Angeles Angels
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 11
1-10
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +15 · Total: 17
16-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Houston Astros
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Houston Astros
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
Padres
vs New York Yankees
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3