Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Yankees 16
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Red Sox @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
74-62 Rating 1539
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Yankees
77-59 Rating 1552
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Yankees
All-time wins 451 475
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.8
Last meeting 2 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Yankees
Games played 136 136
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.7 3.7
Win percentage 54% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 54%