Final Score: Red Sox 0 - Marlins 4
Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
73-59 Rating 1542
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Marlins
67-66 Rating 1492
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Marlins
All-time wins 38 17
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.8 4.2
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Marlins
Games played 132 133
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.2
Win percentage 55% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 60%