Final Score: Nationals 2 - Marlins 3
Friday, August 21, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Nationals @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 265 | 277 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Nationals | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 129 | 128 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 60% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ New York Mets
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Mets
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ New York Mets
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 18
6-12
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
Marlins
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 15
12-3