Final Score: Nationals 3 - Mets 4
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
Nationals @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 480 | 491 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Nationals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 125 | 124 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 44% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ New York Mets
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ New York Mets
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 18
6-12
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
Mets
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 19
13-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5