Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Marlins 3
Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Red Sox @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 37 | 17 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 131 | 132 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 61% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
Marlins
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1