Final Score: Blue Jays 1 - Yankees 3
Friday, August 21, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Yankees
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 343 | 409 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 129 | 127 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 53% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs New York Yankees
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs New York Yankees
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Yankees
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Yankees
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2