Final Score: Cardinals 0 - Pirates 2
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cardinals @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
76-80 Rating 1485
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.3
Pirates
79-77 Rating 1493
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Pirates
All-time wins 512 439
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Pirates
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 49% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 54%