Final Score: Brewers 5 - Pirates 4
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Brewers @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Brewers | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 263 | 202 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 1 |
| Stat | Brewers | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 151 | 151 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 52% |
Recent Results
Brewers
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 22
13-9
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 20
20-0
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 20
8-12
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
Pirates
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0