Final Score: Pirates 4 - Cubs 3
Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
74-75 Rating 1487
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
83-66 Rating 1537
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 484 466
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 149 149
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.4
Win percentage 50% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 58%