Final Score: Cubs 6 - Marlins 5
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Cubs @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 127 | 120 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 1 |
| Stat | Cubs | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 142 | 142 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 60% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 20
17-3
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 22
17-5
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 18
8-10
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
Marlins
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7