Final Score: Royals 5 - Pirates 8
Friday, September 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Royals @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Royals | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 26 | 22 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Royals | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 153 | 153 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 52% |
Recent Results
Royals
@ Houston Astros
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Houston Astros
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Houston Astros
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
Pirates
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0