Final Score: Royals 2 - Astros 4
Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Royals @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
66-84 Rating 1472
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.7
Astros
75-75 Rating 1512
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Astros
All-time wins 53 62
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.8
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Astros
Games played 150 150
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.8
Win percentage 44% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 49%