Final Score: Astros 2 - Phillies 1
Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
Astros @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 250 | 221 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 11 |
| Stat | Astros | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 146 | 146 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 55% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ New York Mets
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
Phillies
vs Houston Astros
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Houston Astros
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2