Final Score: Braves 5 - Phillies 4
Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Braves @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
84-58 Rating 1539
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
80-62 Rating 1556
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Phillies
All-time wins 442 402
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Phillies
Games played 142 142
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.2
Win percentage 59% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 56%