Final Score: Phillies 2 - Diamondbacks 1
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
77-60 Rating 1555
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Diamondbacks
73-65 Rating 1518
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
All-time wins 93 98
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
Games played 137 138
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 56% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 58%