Final Score: Braves 5 - Phillies 2
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Braves @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Braves | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 441 | 401 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 2 |
| Stat | Braves | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 140 | 140 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 56% |
Recent Results
Braves
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Phillies
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4