Final Score: Braves 2 - Phillies 4
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET

Braves @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
84-57 Rating 1541
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
79-62 Rating 1554
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Phillies
All-time wins 442 401
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Phillies
Games played 141 141
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.3
Win percentage 60% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 55%