Final Score: Phillies 5 - Braves 6
Friday, September 11, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Phillies @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 403 | 443 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 0 |
| Stat | Phillies | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 147 | 147 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 65% |
Recent Results
Phillies
vs Houston Astros
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Houston Astros
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Houston Astros
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Braves
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7