Final Score: Diamondbacks 4 - Astros 3
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
74-68 Rating 1514
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Astros
73-69 Rating 1519
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Astros
All-time wins 80 73
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.8
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Astros
Games played 142 142
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.8
Win percentage 52% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 51%