Final Score: Blue Jays 9 - Royals 2
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
70-71 Rating 1525
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.3
Royals
63-78 Rating 1476
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Royals
All-time wins 236 219
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 2 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Royals
Games played 141 141
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.9
Win percentage 50% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 54%