Final Score: Royals 5 - Astros 2
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET
Royals @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Royals | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 53 | 63 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 4 |
| Stat | Royals | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 151 | 151 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 50% |
Recent Results
Royals
@ Houston Astros
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
Astros
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 18
4-14
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1