Final Score: Royals 3 - Red Sox 2
Friday, September 11, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Royals @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
65-82 Rating 1473
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Red Sox
80-67 Rating 1538
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Red Sox
All-time wins 249 269
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.9
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Red Sox
Games played 147 147
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 3.9
Win percentage 44% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 50%