Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Orioles 0
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
77-65 Rating 1538
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Orioles
69-73 Rating 1497
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 493 397
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 142 142
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.7
Win percentage 54% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 49%